il 91% di Bush questa settimana - Gzibordi
By: GZ on Mercoledì 26 Settembre 2001 02:50
per una volta copio anche io dall'inglese perchè è troppo lungo e perchè è Caroline Baum che scrive in modo magnfico
inoltre cita Jim Bianco che è uno che ci prende parecchio
La fiducia nel presidente e la fiducia dei consumatori sono sempre andate di pari passo in America nei momenti di crisi
E la prima determina l'altra.
History suggests that how consumers feel about the president and how they feel about the economic outlook are closely allied, according to a study by Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research in Barrington, Illinois.
Bianco examined all the major crises in the last 40 years, including the assassination of JFK in November 1963, the Iran hostage crisis in November 1979, Tiananmen Square in June 1989 and Desert Shield/Desert Storm in August 1990/January 1991.
``The relationship between the president's approval rating and consumer confidence not only holds during these crises, but in most cases actually strengthens,'' Bianco says. ``Often a crisis that gives the president's approval rating a jump -- rally 'round the flag -- does the same for consumer confidence.''
If you think about it, the president's approval rating and consumer confidence are really the same question to most people, Bianco says.
``When you ask people to rate the job the president is doing, they aren't nitpicking about the job he is doing as a CEO,'' Bianco says. ``They're ranking him on the state of the economy.''
The state of the economy isn't so good, yet the president's approval rating is on the moon.
If historical precedent holds, ``the massive jump in Bush's approval rating bodes well for consumer confidence next month,'' Bianco says, countering the Conference Board's assessment that confidence is going the way of the employment situation.