certo Ptorr che ci sono informazioni alla base della ricerca, è una ricerca pubblicata su 'nature' a pagamento, metto solo uno stralcio ...
'we develop a two-factor learning curve model to analyse the impact of innovation and deployment policies on the cost of energy storage technologies. We use patent activity, production output capacity (kWh), and historical global average prices to track learning rates of battery energy storage technologies. This allows us to investigate whether lithium-ion batteries can achieve necessary cost targets to push intermittent renewable systems with storage past conventional fossil-fuel-based generators. We also track US and global R&D spending on the energy sector and derive implications for policymakers. With increased investment and strategic research, development, and deployment initiatives, the cost reductions of lithium-ion batteries enable cost-competitive and dispatchable renewable photovoltaic (PV) and wind systems. Using an empirical global dataset of lithium-ion patent activity, production volumes, and average prices from 1991 to 2015, we find that innovation has a significant impact on prices of high-tech energy products and services, especially energy storage. This finding is in accordance with recent research on photovoltaics and on wind turbines. Therefore, we estimate two-factor models with a high prediction capability as an advanced conceptual approach and argue for further application in research compared to traditional one-factor learning curves.'
in pratica hanno anche loro sviluppato un framework (fa tanto fico dire così, un modello logico previsionale) tipo quello del mio Tony Seba, un sacco di seghe mentali banalmente superabili tracciando un curva coi prezzi medi annuali al kWh, un roba impossibile da capire per gli ANA-listi mckinsey goldman eia bp ecc. ecc. insomma per quelli che si fanno pagare milioni per spararti solo 'lineari' cazzate
( tra parentesi, credo di averlo già messo, pare siamo già a €100/kWh , http://insideevs.com/audis-ev-batteries-cost-e100kwh/ ) , quindi anche questa ricerca sarebbe fin troppo prudenziale
piuttosto, parliamo dei MFMP, scrivono
'Summary
Nickel + Titanium + Hydrogen + Electrons leads to
excess heat
transmutations
potential emissions of gamma and neutrons
Seemingly resilient to reactor design
May be verifiable with bubble detectors and gamma spectrometry'
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0Bz7lTfqkED9WNk9qTC0xZFJNNUk/view
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kmvlFtM_sMA&feature=youtu.be&t=13m48s
purtroppo notoriamente io di robe tecniche capisco na mazza, i capoccioni tecnici ci hanno abbandonato, preferiscono deliziarsi con gli strangers ( anche tra questi ci sono certi soggetti da analizzare accuratamente... :-) ), arriveremo al 'come costruirsi una bomba atomica con due spicci e disintegrare quelli insopportabili'
:-)