Per Debka era scritto: la Turchia, poi la Spagna, poi l'Italia - gz
By: GZ on Domenica 14 Marzo 2004 17:41
Secondo ^Debka#www.Debka.com^ di ieri se uno leggeva i proclami
degli ultimi mesi di Al Qaeda o dei predicatori fondamentalisti
sulla sua lunghezza d'onda (che appaiono per chi fosse
curioso anche ^nelle versioni in inglese di siti come Al Jazeera#http://english.aljazeera.net/HomePage^)
era detto chiaramente che gli obiettivi erano la Turchia, poi la
Spagna e poi terza l'Italia.
Uno dice: "ma perchè mai dovrebbero dire in anticipo cosa faranno ?"
I loro ragionamenti sono piuttosto contorti (per noi) e infatti nessuno qui legge davvero quello che dicono. Ad esempio Bin Ladin quando parla della Spagna ricorda sempre che una volta era un paese musulmano, anche se era nel 1400 e sembra che faccia il professore di storia.
Ma i loro proclami essendo indirizzati a milioni di musulmani nel mondo hanno invece una funziona propagandistica importante e quindi spiegano esattamente la loro strategia perchè poi sono riprodotti da tutti i siti, i giornali e i canali satellitari arabi per i quali sono il materiale giornalistico più ricercato.
^Come spiega sul corriere della sera il povero Magdi Allam (che sa l'arabo e frequenta i mass media arabi) #http://www.corriere.it/corrforum/corriere/Allam.html^ sono trattati sempre con grande deferenza (nessuna TV araba ad esempio usa mai termini come terrorismo o terroristi), una solidarietà di fondo e discussi sui principali giornali arabi nei termini stessi in cui Al Qaeda vede il mondo (... il complotto ebraico globale-l'America il male assoluto-l'Occidente marcio e sfruttatore del pianeta..).
Di conseguenza ogni cassetta, video o testo che Al Qaeda produce avendo un pubblico di decine di milioni di musulmani potenzialmente simpatizzanti e un intera rete di mass media a disposizione è calibrato parola per parola per la propaganda e cerca di mantenere con il suo pubblico un discorso coerente (per così dire).
Al momento ora di tradurre i discorsi in fatti in America però non hai venti milioni di musulmani emigrati di recente e dei gruppuscoli terroristi come l'Eta, le BR o i servizi di qualche paese dell'est che possano dare qualche sostegno logistico per cui è probabimente più facile operare in Europa. E schiantare aerei sulle città è più spettacolare ma non è così facile perchè devi passare un controllo e trovare un pilota d'aereo. Lasciare delle borse in un treno è invece semplice tanto è vero che in italia negli anni '70 e '80 ne abbiamo avuti diversi casi.
Per cui purtroppo, in base a quello che è indicato nelle parole di questi tizi, all'esempio recente spagnolo e alla logica complessiva del terrorismo sembra ora una questione non di se ma di quando.
DEBKAfile’s counter-terror experts emphasize that Osama bin Laden’s terrorist movement makes no secret of its plans, priorities or motives. They are all laid out - in English too – in a plethora of print and internet publications. While difficult reading for Westerners, who find it hard to take the florid phrasing and outrageous aspirations seriously, such publications are the daily fare of tens of millions of Muslims around the world, almost in the same way a daily newspaper may be part of an ordinary Westerner’s routine.
According to data gathered by our experts, from December 2002, three months before the US invasion of Iraq, al Qaeda began issuing a stream of fatwas designating its main operating theatres in Europe. Spain was on the list, but not the first.
1. Turkey was first. Islamic fundamentalists were constrained to recover the honor and glory of the Ottoman caliphates which were trampled by Christian forces in 1917 in the last days of World War I.
2. Spain followed. There, al Qaeda set Muslims the goal of recovering their lost kingdom in Andalusia.
3. Italy and its capital were third. Muslim fundamentalists view Rome as a world center of heresy because of the Vatican and the Pope.
4. Vienna came next because the advancing Muslim armies were defeated there in 1683 before they could engulf the heart of Europe.
These aspirations are far from being restricted to a lunatic fringe of radical Islam. The Arab world’s most popular television preacher, Yusouf Kardawi, whom DEBKAfile has mentioned before, subscribes to the same agenda in his sermons over al Jazeera - with one difference. Whereas al Qaeda aims to “liberate” Turkey, Spain, Italy and Israel by force of arms, Kardawi who addresses the masses from a studio in Qatar just a few hundred yards from American Central Command HQ, advocates persuasion.
However strangely these decrees and teachings may fall on the ears of their targets, there is no option but to try and make sense of them in order to understand the force driving an inhumanly ruthless enemy. The logic behind this philosophy is capable of attaining a perfect match between its injunctions and the actions of its faithful in practice.
November 2003 saw two terrorist outbreaks in Istanbul that claimed 63 lives and injured more than 600. Tuesday, March 10, the day of the attacks in Madrid, al Qaeda continued its deadly cycle in Istanbul by sending two suicide killers to a building on the Asian side of the city housing a Masonic lodge. Armed with a bomb belt and gas canisters they planned to go up to the conference chamber and set it alight during a meeting. The members would have burned to death. It so happened that the lodge meeting was postponed at the last minute. The bombers blew themselves up at the door of an empty restaurant, killing a waiter.
Since last year, Al Qaeda has been able to spread its operational wings through many countries by linking up with local affiliates or sympathizers - either as accomplices or surrogates. In Turkey, they rely on the Muslim radical IBDA/C.
A similar pattern of operation repeated itself on March 2 in the massacre of 271 Shiites in the Iraqi cities of Karbala and Baghdad. Another thousand or more were injured. A dozen suicide bombers whose identity eludes investigation to this day were used, but the logistical structure that made an offensive on this scale possible must have numbered hundreds of locals.
The offensive against Shiite Muslims is set to a timetable that is separate from al Qaeda’s European planning. It belongs to the history of Muslim internecine warfare and is governed by a different set of fatwas.
In Madrid, as in Istanbul, al Qaeda most probably operated through or with the help of local terrorist organizations, possibly even young radical members of ETA, members of the half million Muslim population of Spain or terrorists from its former North African colonies.
This expanded infrastructure, straddling many target countries, also enables al Qaeda to multiply the number of deaths it is capable of inflicting in each individual attack. In the last four months, bin Laden’s organization has managed to take 533 lives and maimed more than 3,000. The organization has pushed out the limits of the scale and diversity of its operations substantially since the 9/11 catastrophe in America.
On the same day as the Madrid trains were blown up, the Americans launched Operation Mountain Storm against “high value” al Qaeda and Taliban targets in the mountains between Afghanistan and Pakistan. It does not escape observers that while al Qaeda is capable of assaults on five fronts at least – Iraq, Turkey, Spain Kashmir and Saudi Arabia, the US global offensive against terror is limited to a single front, which too is far from the fundamentalists’ most active current arena.
Where do the United States and Britain stand on al Qaeda’s time table?
Its religious edicts dictate the “liberation” (by terrorism) of lands once under Muslim rule. Turkey and Spain were therefore placed ahead of London, Paris and Berlin. Israel is doubly anathemized as a Jewish state established in a country once governed by Muslims. Rome ought to come next, although the fatwas allow some flexibility to meet changing circumstances and enable al Qaeda to strike where least expected.
Bin Laden and the leadership group of his organization have been arguing over their next directions. Their debate is conceptual between those who advocate building up Islamic fundamentalist gains in Europe before turning to America and those who see Europe as a springboard to the United States. Bin Laden has issued a fatwa deciding the issue: the organization is instructed to strike simultaneously on both continents.