Posted Mar 11, 2020 by Martin Armstrong
Therefore, despite all the doom and gloom and the level of outright panic, we should see this subside probably no later than July 2020.
no, dai, il gran cazzaro (lo chiamano the forecaster) ha "indovinato" anche questa??
as BofA also points out, "we continue to see clear signs the Coronavirus is rolling over in the US as the number of people hospitalized due to COVID-19 declines at a rapid pace of about one percent a day (26% in 23 days)."
Extrapolating, this rate of decline means that there will be zero covid-related hospitalizations around the Nov 3 election day, a feat that if marketed properly, could mean the differnce for Trump between victory and defeat.
The recent peak number of hospitalized on July 24th suggests peak daily new COVID-19 infections in the US around Independence Day (July 4th).
ciliegina: Ironically, there is just one state where there is a tangible number of new cases - the one which was among the first to permit protests (and riots) in late May and early June: as Goldman notes, "Cases are on the rise in the most populous state of California, which has faced technical difficulties in reporting accurate daily case counts."